零级行为有多可移植?非中性框架下博弈中层级k理论的检验

How Portable Is Level-0 Behavior? A Test of Level-k Theory in Games With Non-Neutral Frames

Econometrica · 2014
被引 60
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

通过协调、失调和捉迷藏博弈实验,检验层级k理论中零级行为假设的可移植性,发现其不成立,并指出参数化模型存在高假阳性风险。

Abstract

We test the portability of level‐0 assumptions in level‐k theory in an experimental investigation of behavior in Coordination, Discoordination, and Hide and Seek games with common, non‐neutral frames. Assuming that level‐0 behavior depends only on the frame, we derive hypotheses that are independent of prior assumptions about salience. Those hypotheses are not confirmed. Our findings contrast with previous research which has fitted parameterized level‐k models to Hide and Seek data. We show that, as a criterion of successful explanation, the existence of a plausible model that replicates the main patterns in these data has a high probability of false positives.

层级-k理论非中性框架行为可移植性实验博弈