关于消除战略决策中框架偏差的进一步思考

Further reflections on the elimination of framing bias in strategic decision making

STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT JOURNAL · 2002
被引 84
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

回应Wright和Goodwin的批评,用他们的数据证明因果认知映射能有效限制框架偏差,而他们提出的决策树方法反而导致混淆。

Abstract

Abstract Wright and Goodwin (2002) maintain that, in terms of experimental design and ecological validity, Hodgkinson et al. () failed to demonstrate either that the framing bias is likely to be of salience in strategic decision making, or that causal cognitive mapping provides an effective means of limiting the damage accruing from this bias. In reply, we show that there is ample evidence to support both of our original claims. Moreover, using Wright and Goodwin's own data set, we demonstrate that our studies did in fact attain appropriate levels of ecological validity, and that their proposed alternative to causal cognitive mapping, a decision tree approach, is far from ‘simpler.’ Wright and Goodwin's approach not only fails to eliminate the framing bias—it leads to confusion. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

战略决策认知偏差框架效应决策方法