一种简单的核心通胀自适应度量方法

A Simple Adaptive Measure of Core Inflation

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2002
被引 231
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种新的核心通胀度量方法,能自适应追踪通胀的突发和持续变动,比现有方法更有效滤除暂时波动,并更好预测通胀的局部均值回归成分。

Abstract

This paper proposes a new measure of core inflation and compares it with several existing measures. The new measure is adaptive and is designed to track sudden and persistent movements in inflation, such as those arising from changes in monetary policy regimes. The adaptive measure filters out transients more effectively than existing measures, and it is a superior predictor of locally mean-reverting components of inflation.

核心通胀适应性测度通胀持续性货币政策体制