The Nature of Option Interactions and the Valuation of Investments with Multiple Real Options
研究资本预算项目中多个实物期权之间的互动性质,分析其如何影响投资灵活性价值,并通过示例说明忽略期权互动可能导致的估值误差。
This paper deals with the nature of option interactions and the valuation of capital budgeting projects possessing flexibility in the form of multiple real options.It identifies situations where option interactions can be small or large, negative or positive.Interactions generally depend on the type, separation, degree of being "in the money," and the order of the options involved.The paper illustrates, through a generic example, the importance of properly accounting for interactions among the options to defer, abandon, contract or expand investment, and switch use.It is shown that the incremental value of an additional option, in the presence of other options, is generally less than its value in isolation, and declines as more options are present.Therefore, valuation errors from ignoring a particular option may be small.However, configurations of real options exhibiting precisely the opposite behavior are identified.Comparative statics results confirm that the value of flexibility, despite interactions, manifests familiar option properties.