四十七年后:时间贴现中的日期/延迟效应

Four Score and Seven Years from Now: The Date/Delay Effect in Temporal Discounting

Management Science · 2005
被引 256
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

发现一个跨期选择新异象——日期/延迟效应:用日历日期描述未来时间时,贴现率显著低于用延迟时长描述;日期描述还使贴现函数更不呈双曲线形。

Abstract

We describe a new anomaly in intertemporal choice—the “date/delay effect”: discount rates that are imputed when time is described using calendar dates (e.g., on October 17) are markedly lower than those revealed when future outcomes are described in terms of the corresponding delay (e.g., in six months). Date descriptions not only reduce discount rates, but also affect the implied shape of the discount function: When inferred from intertemporal choices between options referenced by calendar dates, the discount function appears markedly less hyperbolic. We discuss potential psychological bases of the date/delay effect, its implications, and other modes of temporal reference.

日期延迟效应跨期选择时间贴现折扣函数