Resource-Constrained Export-Base Regional Multipliers: A Northian Approach*
从供给角度重新审视区域出口基地增长模型，发展诺斯式方法，分析区域资源开发如何影响出口乘数，并揭示乘数大小取决于区域特征和供给冲击的性质。
Abstract. This paper attempts to rescue the regional export-base growth model from a purely demand-side interpretation. It formally develops the classic Northian approach, where the exploitation of region-specific resources by export-orientated production sectors determines regional growth. In this model, the nature of the regional expansion is shown to be stimulus-specific with the value of the marginal export-base multiplier varying within very wide limits, depending upon key characteristics of the region and the nature of the supply-side shock to the export base.