PAYROLL TAXES, SOCIAL INSURANCE, AND BUSINESS CYCLES
研究了工资税和社会保险如何影响经济周期波动,发现平衡的社会保险预算会导致工资税逆周期变化,使工资更刚性,并增强失业和职位空缺的波动性。
Payroll taxes represent a major distortionary influence of governments on labor markets. This paper examines the role of time-varying payroll taxes and the social safety net for cyclical fluctuations in a nonmonetary economy with labor market frictions and unemployment insurance, when the latter is only imperfectly related to search effort. A balanced social insurance budget induces countercyclical payroll taxation, renders gross wages more rigid over the cycle and strengthens the model's endogenous propagation mechanism. For conventional calibrations, the model generates a negatively sloped Beveridge curve and countercyclical unemployment as well as substantial volatility and persistence of vacancies and unemployment.