平稳多元长记忆过程的样本均值、样本自协方差与线性回归

SAMPLE MEANS, SAMPLE AUTOCOVARIANCES, AND LINEAR REGRESSION OF STATIONARY MULTIVARIATE LONG MEMORY PROCESSES

Econometric Theory · 2002
被引 58
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了平稳多元长记忆过程样本矩的渐近理论,发现回归元与扰动项的共同长记忆性会导致普通最小二乘估计的收敛速度变慢、极限非正态,标准t检验和F检验失效。

Abstract

We develop an asymptotic theory for the first two sample moments of a stationary multivariate long memory process under fairly general conditions. In this theory the convergence rates and the limits (the fractional Brownian motion, the Rosenblatt process, etc.) all depend intrinsically on the degree of long memory in the process. The theory of the sample moments is then applied to the multiple linear regression model. An interesting finding is that, even though all the regressors and the disturbance are stationary and ergodic, the joint long memory in one single regressor and in the disturbance can invalidate the usual asymptotic theory for the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation. Specifically, the convergence rates of the OLS estimators become slower, the limits are not normal, and the standard t - and F -tests all collapse.

多元长记忆过程样本矩最小二乘估计渐近理论