区域非调整与财政政策

Regional non-adjustment and fiscal policy

Economic Policy · 1998
被引 332
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

比较美国、德国、意大利、英国和加拿大应对区域内不对称冲击的方式,发现欧洲更多依赖转移支付而非劳动力迁移,调整速度较慢,并探讨了欧洲货币联盟可能面临的转移联盟问题。

Abstract

Summary Asymmetric shocks Regional non-adjustment and fiscal policyHow will countries handle idiosyncratic macroeconomic shocks under the single currency? Since the regional adjustment patterns currently prevailing within European currency unions are likely to prevail at the national level under the single currency, looking at the ways in which European countries react to internally asymmetric shocks today provides a good preview for the answer to that question. In this paper, we compare the USA with Germany, Italy and the UK, and with Canada, which is closer to Europe than the USA in its labour market and fiscal institutions.Europe's (and to some extent Canada's) model of regional response differs from that of the USA. Changes in regional real exchange rates are small in all countries. Outside of the USA, however, there is more reliance on interregional transfer payments, less on labour migration, and the pace of regional adjustment appears to be slower. If EMU aims at the same degree of economic and social cohesion that its constituent nations enjoy today, this suggests that its members may find it hard to resist the eventual extension of existing EU mechanisms of income redistribution - a transfer union. We propose an alternative strategy based on a relaxed Stability Pact, further strictures against central EU borrowing, labour market and fiscal reform, and the issuance by individual member states of debt indexed to nominal GDP.— Maurice Obstfeld and Giovanni Peri

欧洲货币联盟区域调整财政政策转移支付