An Analysis of Out-of-Wedlock Childbearing in the United States
研究美国非婚生育增加的原因，认为堕胎合法化和避孕普及削弱了“奉子成婚”习俗，导致非婚生育上升，并对比了技术冲击与福利、就业短缺等理论。
This paper relates the erosion of the custom of shotgun marriage to the legalization of abortion and the increased availability of contraception to unmarried women in the United States. The decline in shotgun marriage accounts for a significant fraction of the increase in out-of-wedlock first births. Several models illustrate the analogy between women who do not adopt either birth control or abortion and the hand-loom weavers, both victims of changing technology. Mechanisms causing female immiseration are modeled and historically described. This technology-shock hypothesis is an alternative to welfare and job-shortage theories of the feminization of poverty.