存在外部机会的不完全信息讨价还价

Incomplete Information Bargaining with Outside Opportunities

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1987
被引 72
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究卖方在不确定买方估值时,因随时间变得悲观而可能转向外部机会(卖给其他买家或自用),这导致谈判期限有限,并产生多重均衡。

Abstract

We consider two kinds of ‘outside opportunity’ that a seller of an indivisible good might have: selling to a different buyer and consuming the good herself. In both models the seller is uncertain about the buyer's valuation, and becomes more pessimistic over time. When the seller becomes sufficiently pessimistic, she prefers the outside opportunity, so she will not bargain indefinitely with the current buyer. Despite the resulting finite-horizon nature of negotiations, the link between the buyer's willingness to accept an offer and the seller's eagerness to go "outside" generates multiple equilibria.

不完全信息外部机会讨价还价多重均衡