理论在实地实验中的作用

The Role of Theory in Field Experiments

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2011
被引 101
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

分类了1975至2010年间五大顶级经济学期刊中的实地实验,发现68%缺乏明确理论模型,并对比了实验室实验,讨论了理论与实验设计紧密联系的利弊。

Abstract

We classify all published field experiments in five top economics journals from 1975 to 2010 according to how closely the experimental design and analysis are linked to economic theory. We find that the vast majority of field experiments (68 percent) are Descriptive studies that lack any explicit model; 18 percent are Single Model studies that test a single model-based hypothesis; 6 percent are Competing Models studies that test competing model-based hypotheses; and 8 percent are Parameter Estimation studies that estimate structural parameters in a completely specified model. We also classify laboratory experiments published in these journals over the same period and find that economic theory has played a more central role in the laboratory than in the field. Finally, we discuss in detail three sets of field experiments—on gift exchange, on charitable giving, and on negative income tax—that illustrate both the benefits and the potential costs of a tighter link between experimental design and theoretical underpinnings.

田野实验经济理论实验设计理论检验