The Road to Desert Storm
通过分析布什总统在沙漠风暴行动前的决策过程，比较了理性范式与单选项范式对承诺升级的不同解释，揭示了两种范式在评估决策过程时的差异。
Analysis of escalation of commitment is used to highlight the differences between two paradigms in the study of decision making. The rational paradigm proposes that escalation is a dysfunctional response to failure (Staw and Ross 1987). A single-option paradigm, developed in this paper, proposes that it is a necessary response to uncertainty which may, but not necessarily, result in failure. Analysis of the decision-making process of President Bush prior to Operation Desert Storm highlights the differences between the two paradigms and demonstrates how they provide different interpretations and evaluations of a given decision process.