Checkmate: Exploring Backward Induction among Chess Players
研究世界级棋手在蜈蚣博弈和Race to 100博弈中的表现,发现他们几乎不在蜈蚣博弈中采用逆向归纳均衡,但在Race to 100中能正确逆向归纳,且两种博弈中的行为无系统关联。
Although backward induction is a cornerstone of game theory, most laboratory experiments have found that agents are not able to successfully backward induct. We analyze the play of world-class chess players in the centipede game, which is ill-suited for testing backward induction, and in pure backward induction games—Race to 100 games. We find that chess players almost never play the backward induction equilibrium in the centipede game, but many properly backward induct in the Race to 100 games. We find no systematic within-subject relationship between choices in the centipede game and performance in pure backward induction games.