新凯恩斯模型与欧元区商业周期

The New Keynesian Model and the Euro Area Business Cycle*

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2006
被引 8
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

构建了一个包含交易便利货币和建设时间约束的新凯恩斯模型,用于模拟欧元区产出和通胀等关键变量的周期波动,发现建设时间约束能改善模型拟合度,而交易便利货币作用不大。

Abstract

Abstract This paper describes a New Keynesian model incorporating transactions‐facilitating money and a time‐to‐build constraint into endogenous capital accumulation. The calibrated New Keynesian model performs almost as well as the estimated vector autoregressive model in replicating Euro area cyclical correlations between key variables such as output and inflation, although it fares less well in predicting the procyclical dynamics of nominal interest rates. The presence of a time‐to‐build requirement in the model helps to improve its fit to Euro area data, whereas the role of transactions‐facilitating money is much less important. Impulse–response functions and a decomposition of variance complete the analysis.

新凯恩斯模型欧元区商业周期时间-建设约束资本积累