Is Vote Buying Effective? Evidence from a Field Experiment in West Africa
在圣多美和普林西比的一次选举中开展随机实地实验,通过选民教育活动检验买票对选举行为的影响,发现买票能提高投票率并削弱在任者优势。
Vote buying, i.e. cash for votes, happens frequently in many parts of the world. However, in the presence of secret ballots, there is no obvious way to enforce vote transactions. To infer effects of vote buying on electoral behaviour, I designed and conducted a randomised field experiment during an election in São Tomé and Príncipe. I follow a voter education campaign against vote buying, using panel survey measurements as well as disaggregated electoral results. Results show that the campaign reduced the influence of money offered on voting, decreased voter turnout and favoured the incumbent. This evidence suggests that vote buying increases participation and counteracts the incumbency advantage.