环境关切是否影响通勤选择?:基于家庭调查数据的混合选择模型分析

Do Environmental Concerns Affect Commuting Choices?: Hybrid Choice Modelling with Household Survey Data

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 2017
被引 34 · 同刊同年前 8%
ABS 3

中文导读

利用大型家庭调查数据构建混合选择模型,发现环境态度显著影响通勤方式选择,为政府制定气候变化政策提供参考。

Abstract

Summary To meet ambitious climate change goals governments must encourage behavioural change alongside technological progress. Designing effective policy requires a thorough understanding of the factors that drive behaviours. In an effort to understand the role of environmental attitudes better we estimate a hybrid choice model (HCM) for commuting mode choice by using a large household survey data set. HCMs combine traditional discrete choice models with a structural equation model to integrate latent variables, such as attitudes, into the choice process. To date HCMs have utilized small bespoke data sets, beset with problems of selection and limited generalizability. To overcome these problems we demonstrate the feasibility of using this valuable modelling approach with nationally representative data. Our results suggest that environmental attitudes have an important influence on commute mode choice, and this can be exploited by governments looking to add to their climate change policy toolbox in an effort to change travel behaviours.

环境经济学交通工程行为经济学政策评估