测量性传播疾病的性伴侣网络

Measuring Sexual Partner Networks for Transmission of Sexually Transmitted Diseases

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 1998
被引 38
ABS 3

中文导读

研究测量性伴侣网络时,随机抽样和非响应偏差会导致严重估计偏差,通过两步蒙特卡洛模拟调整后,发现忽略缺失数据会低估性传播疾病风险。

Abstract

Summary Patterns of sexual mixing and the sexual partner network are important determinants of the spread of all sexually transmitted diseases (STDs), including the human immunodeficiency virus. Novel statistical problems arise in the analysis and interpretation of studies aimed at measuring patterns of sexual mixing and sexual partner networks. Samples of mixing patterns and network structures derived from randomly sampling individuals are not themselves random samples of measures of partnerships or networks. In addition, the sensitive nature of questions on sexual activity will result in the introduction of non-response biases, which in estimating network structures are likely to be non-ignorable. Adjusting estimates for these biases by using standard statistical approaches is complicated by the complex interactions between the mechanisms generating bias and the non-independent nature of network data. Using a two-step Monte Carlo simulation approach, we have shown that measures of mixing patterns and the network structure that do not account for missing data and non-random sampling are severely biased. Here, we use this approach to adjust raw estimates in data to incorporate these effects. The results suggest that the risk for transmission of STDs in empirical data is underestimated by ignoring missing data and non-random sampling.

性传播疾病流行病学网络分析统计方法