包含主导单元的高维向量自回归模型的计量分析

Econometric Analysis of High Dimensional VARs Featuring a Dominant Unit

Econometric Reviews · 2012
被引 161 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

扩展了无限维向量自回归模型,处理其中一个变量(主导单元)对其他变量有直接和间接影响的情况,提出用增广最小二乘法一致估计其效应,并通过蒙特卡洛实验验证小样本性质。

Abstract

This paper extends the analysis of infinite dimensional vector autoregressive (IVAR) models proposed in Chudik and Pesaran (2011 Chudik , A. , Pesaran , M. H. ( 2011 ). Infinite dimensional VARs and factor models . Journal of Econometrics 163 : 4 – 22 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the case where one of the variables or the cross-section units in the IVAR model is dominant or pervasive. It is an important extension from empirical as well theoretical perspectives. In the theory of networks a dominant unit is the centre node of a star network and arises as an efficient outcome of a distance-based utility model. Empirically, the extension poses a number of technical challenges that goes well beyond the analysis of IVAR models provided in Chudik and Pesaran. This is because the dominant unit influences the rest of the variables in the IVAR model both directly and indirectly, and its effects do not vanish as the dimension of the model (N) tends to infinity. The dominant unit acts as a dynamic factor in the regressions of the non-dominant units and yields an infinite order distributed lag relationship between the two types of units. Despite this it is shown that the effects of the dominant unit as well as those of the neighborhood units can be consistently estimated by running augmented least squares regressions that include distributed lag functions of the dominant unit and its neighbors (if any). The asymptotic distribution of the estimators is derived and their small sample properties investigated by means of Monte Carlo experiments.

高维VAR主导单元无限维VAR星型网络