高频观测下连续半鞅的推断

Inference for Continuous Semimartingales Observed at High Frequency

Econometrica · 2009
被引 202
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究高频数据中基于局部常数近似的矩估计方法,证明其渐近性质需通过似然比调整,并给出波动率幂、杠杆效应和积分贝塔的估计实例。

Abstract

The econometric literature of high frequency data often relies on moment estimators which are derived from assuming local constancy of volatility and related quantities. We here study this local-constancy approximation as a general approach to estimation in such data. We show that the technique yields asymptotic properties (consistency, normality) that are correct subject to an ex post adjustment involving asymptotic likelihood ratios. These adjustments are derived and documented. Several examples of estimation are provided: powers of volatility, leverage effect, and integrated betas. The first order approximations based on local constancy can be over the period of one observation or over blocks of successive observations. It has the advantage of gaining in transparency in defining and analyzing estimators. The theory relies heavily on the interplay between stable convergence and measure change, and on asymptotic expansions for martingales. Copyright 2009 The Econometric Society.

连续半鞅高频数据局部常数近似渐近似然比