一家公用事业公司煤炭与核电选择的说明性比较

Illustrative Comparison of One Utility's Coal and Nuclear Choices

Operations Research · 1983
被引 40
FT 50UTD 24ABS 4★

中文导读

展示了一种基于决策分析的方法,帮助公用事业公司在煤炭与核电之间做出逻辑一致的复杂选择,并考虑了经济、环境、社会、安全和监管因素。

Abstract

The technology choices facing an individual utility are complex decision problems. The paper illustrates a method designed to assist an individual utility company in making these choices in a logically consistent manner. The resulting evaluation model, based on the principles of decision analysis, explicitly addresses the complexity to provide a basis for decision making and support for defending the decision before reviewers. The model, which incorporates economic, environmental, social, safety, and regulatory effects, is demonstrated using a coal/nuclear choice which may be faced by Utah Power and Light Company in the near future. This analysis is meant to be illustrative; more effort would be needed to gather information to support a policy decision.

决策分析能源经济学风险管理运营研究