主权债务与结构性改革

Sovereign Debt and Structural Reforms

American Economic Review · 2019
被引 36
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个包含有限执行和道德风险的主权债务与结构性改革动态理论,分析了衰退国家如何通过改革加速复苏,以及债务悬置对改革努力的影响。

Abstract

We construct a dynamic theory of sovereign debt and structural reforms with limited enforcement and moral hazard. A sovereign country in recession wishes to smooth consumption. It can also undertake costly reforms to speed up recovery. The sovereign can renege on contracts by suffering a stochastic cost. The constrained optimal allocation (COA) prescribes imperfect insurance with non-monotonic dynamics for consumption and effort. The COA is decentralized by a competitive equilibrium with markets for renegotiable GDP-linked one-period debt. The equilibrium features debt overhang: reform effort decreases in a high debt range. We also consider environments with less complete markets.

主权债务结构性改革债务积压GDP挂钩债券