Regional Migration, Growth and Convergence – A Spatial Dynamic Panel Model of Germany
研究了德国统一后区域迁移如何影响区域收敛与增长，发现迁出对增长有轻微负效应，而迁入在东德促进增长、在西德则需依赖技能抵消负效应。
Kubis A. and Schneider L. Regional migration, growth and convergence – a spatial dynamic panel model of Germany, <i>Regional Studies</i>. This paper empirically analyses the question of how regional migration affects regional convergence and growth in post-reunification Germany. Addressing the endogeneity of migration and human capital, a dynamic panel data model within the framework of <i>β</i>-convergence is applied, accounting for spatial effects. The regressions indicate that out-migration has a negative but modest effect on regional growth; the expected effect of skill selection is only partly confirmed. In the East German subsample, in-migration increases growth independently of its human capital effect; in West Germany, in-migration lowers growth per se, but this negative impact is offset by the growth-stimulating forces of migrants’ skills.