具有随机波动率的贝叶斯向量自回归模型

Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility

Econometrica · 1997
被引 166
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种贝叶斯方法处理带随机波动率的向量自回归模型,其中精度矩阵的乘性演化由多元贝塔变量驱动,并给出了精确更新公式,自回归参数估计则采用重要性抽样方法。

Abstract

This paper proposes a Bayesian approach t o a v ector autoregression with stochastic volatility, where the multiplicative e v olution of the precision matrix is driven by a m ultivariate beta variate.Exact updating formulas are given to the nonlinear ltering of the precision matrix.Estimation of the autoregressive parameters requires numerical methods: an importance-sampling based approach is explained here.i

贝叶斯向量自回归随机波动率精度矩阵多元贝塔分布