Targets of Violence: Evidence From India’s Naxalite Conflict
利用2005-2011年印度毛主义暴力事件的地区-年份面板数据，研究发现降雨不足会引发针对平民的暴力，但针对安全部队的攻击仅在矿业地区增加，表明叛军资金来源影响其战斗能力。
How does a rebel group’s access to funding affect its fighting capacity? Using a district‐year panel of fatal Maoist incidents in India between 2005 and 2011, I find that deficient rainfall spurs targeted Maoist violence against civilians but that the number of Maoist attacks against security forces increases only in mining districts. The relationship between income shocks and conflict depends on the type of targets and the revenue sources of the rebels. In particular, the fighting capacity of a rebel group appears to benefit more from negative income shocks if the group’s tax base is sufficiently independent from the agricultural economy.