The Demographic Transition and the Position of Women: a Marriage Market Perspective
研究人口队列规模变化导致的婚姻市场失衡如何影响女性地位，发现年龄差距无法长期调节失衡，可能加剧嫁妆问题，对南亚、撒哈拉以南非洲和东亚女性产生不同影响。
Abstract Secular trends in cohort size cause large marriage market imbalances due to the age gap at marriage between men and women. Positive cohort growth adversely affects women in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Secular decline improves their position in East Asia. I show that the age gap at marriage will not adjust in order to equilibrate the marriage market in response to persistent imbalances, even though it accommodates transitory shocks. This implies large distributional consequences on the sexes, and may increase dowries. I also analyse transition dynamics between steady states and examine how age gaps and transfers adjust in the transition.