Immigrants’ Wage Growth and Selective Out‐Migration
利用荷兰行政数据，采用竞争风险模型处理移民劳动供给和迁出决策的内生性，发现同时控制两种选择性才能准确估计工资增长，对劳动和家庭移民影响不同。
Abstract This paper examines immigrant wage growth taking selective out‐migration into account using administrative data from the Netherlands. Addressing a limitation in the previous literature, we address the potential endogeneity of immigrants’ labour supply and out‐migration decisions on their earning profiles using a correlated competing risk model. We distinguish between labour and family migrants, given their different labour market and out‐migration behaviours. Our findings show that accounting for selective labour supply is as important as accounting for selective out‐migration. Controlling only for out‐migration selectivity would underestimate immigrants’ wage growth, whilst controlling only for labour market selectivity would overestimate their wage growth. This shows that different selections are important for different types of migrants.