一类新的非对称指数幂密度及其在经济学和金融学中的应用

A new class of asymmetric exponential power densities with applications to economics and finance

Industrial and Corporate Change · 2011
被引 90
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一个五参数的非对称指数幂分布族,能处理偏态和尖峰,且连续变化到正态分布;证明极大似然估计的一致性和渐近有效性,给出Fisher信息矩阵,并通过模拟和小样本(100观测值)验证其可靠性,最后用经济和金融数据比较其表现。

Abstract

We introduce a new five-parameter family of distributions, the asymmetric exponential power (AEP), able to cope with asymmetries and leptokurtosis and, at the same time, allowing for a continuous variation from non-normality to normality. We prove that the maximum likelihood (ML) estimates of the AEP parameters are consistent on the whole parameter space, and when sufficiently large values of the shape parameters are considered, they are also asymptotically efficient and normal. We derive the Fisher information matrix for the AEP and we show that it can be continuously extended also to the region of small shape parameters. Through numerical simulations, we find that this extension can be used to obtain a reliable value for the errors associated to ML estimates also for samples of relatively small size (100 observations). Moreover, we show that around this sample size, the bias associated with ML estimates, although present, becomes negligible. Finally, we present a few empirical investigations, using diverse data from economics and finance, to compare the performance of AEP with respect to other, commonly used, families of distributions.

计量经济学金融学统计学分布理论