变分推断:统计学家综述

Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticians

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2017
被引 3727 · 同刊同年前 1%
ABS 4

中文导读

综述变分推断这一通过优化近似概率密度的机器学习方法,对比马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛更快,介绍均值场变分推断、指数族模型应用、高斯混合模型示例及随机优化扩展,面向统计学家推动研究。

Abstract

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation involving the posterior density. In this article, we review variational inference (VI), a method from machine learning that approximates probability densities through optimization. VI has been used in many applications and tends to be faster than classical methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. The idea behind VI is to first posit a family of densities and then to find a member of that family which is close to the target density. Closeness is measured by Kullback–Leibler divergence. We review the ideas behind mean-field variational inference, discuss the special case of VI applied to exponential family models, present a full example with a Bayesian mixture of Gaussians, and derive a variant that uses stochastic optimization to scale up to massive data. We discuss modern research in VI and highlight important open problems. VI is powerful, but it is not yet well understood. Our hope in writing this article is to catalyze statistical research on this class of algorithms. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

贝叶斯统计机器学习变分推断概率密度近似