网络流行病何时难以消除?

When Is a Network Epidemic Hard to Eliminate?

Mathematics of Operations Research · 2016
被引 45
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了在固定治愈预算下,网络传染病传播的预期灭绝时间,发现当预算低于某个与图割宽相关的阈值时,灭绝时间随节点数指数增长,揭示了流行病难以消除的条件。

Abstract

We consider the propagation of a contagion process (“epidemic”) on a network and study the problem of dynamically allocating a fixed curing budget to the nodes of the graph, at each time instant. For bounded degree graphs, we provide a lower bound on the expected time to extinction under any such dynamic allocation policy, in terms of a combinatorial quantity that we call the resistance of the set of initially infected nodes, the available budget, and the number of nodes n. Specifically, we consider the case of bounded degree graphs, with the resistance growing linearly in n. We show that if the curing budget is less than a certain multiple of the resistance, then the expected time to extinction grows exponentially with n. As a corollary, if all nodes are initially infected and the CutWidth of the graph grows linearly, while the curing budget is less than a certain multiple of the CutWidth, then the expected time to extinction grows exponentially in n. The combination of the latter with our prior work establishes a fairly sharp phase transition on the expected time to extinction (sublinear versus exponential) based on the relation between the CutWidth and the curing budget.

网络流行病学图论组合优化随机过程