最大稳定过程的精确模拟

Exact simulation of max-stable processes

Biometrika · 2016
被引 78
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种新算法,通过仅模拟对点态最大值有贡献的极值函数,实现对最大稳定过程在有限位置上的精确模拟,并证明其效率优于现有方法。

Abstract

Max-stable processes play an important role as models for spatial extreme events. Their complex structure as the pointwise maximum over an infinite number of random functions makes their simulation difficult. Algorithms based on finite approximations are often inexact and computationally inefficient. We present a new algorithm for exact simulation of a max-stable process at a finite number of locations. It relies on the idea of simulating only the extremal functions, that is, those functions in the construction of a max-stable process that effectively contribute to the pointwise maximum. We further generalize the algorithm by Dieker & Mikosch (2015) for Brown-Resnick processes and use it for exact simulation via the spectral measure. We study the complexity of both algorithms, prove that our new approach via extremal functions is always more efficient, and provide closed-form expressions for their implementation that cover most popular models for max-stable processes and multivariate extreme value distributions. For simulation on dense grids, an adaptive design of the extremal function algorithm is proposed.

空间极值极值理论随机模拟算法