基于互动的总合投资波动基础

An interaction-based foundation of aggregate investment fluctuations

Theoretical Economics · 2015
被引 11
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

证明企业层面不可分割投资的互动会导致总合波动,无需总合外生冲击,并构建动态一般均衡模型模拟出与商业周期相当的波动。

Abstract

This study demonstrates that the interactions of firm-level indivisible investments give rise to aggregate fluctuations without aggregate exogenous shocks. When investments are indivisible, aggregate capital is determined by the number of firms that invest. I develop a method to derive the closed-form distribution of the number of investing firms when each firm's initial capital level varies stochastically. This method shows that idiosyncratic shocks may lead to non-vanishing aggregate fluctuations when the number of firms tends to infinity. I incorporate this mechanism in a dynamic general equilibrium model with indivisible investment and predetermined goods prices. The model features no aggregate exogenous shocks, and the fluctuation is driven by idiosyncratic productivity shocks. Numerical simulations show that the model generates aggregate fluctuations comparable to the business cycles in magnitude and correlation structure under standard calibration.

企业投资不可分性加总波动异质性冲击商业周期