货币联盟是否需要资本市场联盟?

Does a currency union need a capital market union?

Journal of International Economics · 2022
被引 7
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了四种货币联盟(分割市场、货币市场联盟、资本市场联盟、完全金融市场)在应对需求和供给冲击时的风险分担效率,发现货币市场联盟能有效分担国内需求冲击,而资本市场联盟对分担供给冲击必不可少。

Abstract

We compare risk sharing in response to demand and supply shocks in four types of currency unions: segmented markets; a money market union; a capital market union; and complete financial markets. We show that a money market union is efficient at sharing domestic demand shocks (deleveraging, fiscal consolidation), while a capital market union is necessary to share supply shocks (productivity and quality shocks). In a numerical exercise, we find that the welfare gain of moving from segmented markets to a money market union is of roughly similar magnitude to that of moving from a money market to a capital market union.

货币联盟资本市场联盟风险分担需求冲击供给冲击