预算老龄化:年龄增长与公共政策偏好

Greying the Budget: Ageing and Preferences over Public Policies

Kyklos · 2017
被引 35
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究个人对政府支出分配的态度如何随生命周期变化,发现老年人更不支持增加教育支出、更支持增加养老金支出,且该模式在34个欧洲和中亚国家中一致。

Abstract

Summary This paper looks at how individual attitudes towards the allocation of government spending change along the life cycle. As individuals age and re‐evaluate the benefits and costs of government programs, such as education, healthcare and old‐age pensions, they also influence the level and composition of government spending. Using the Life in Transition Survey II for 34 countries of Europe and Central Asia, we find that older individuals are less likely to support hikes in government outlays on education and more likely to support increases in spending on pensions. These results are very similar across countries, and they do not change when using alternative model specifications, estimation methods and data sources. To our knowledge, this the first paper to provide evidence of the “grey peril” effect for a large group of developed, middle‐income and low‐income economies. Our findings are consistent with a body of literature arguing that conflict across generations over the allocation of government expenditure may intensify in ageing economies.

人口老龄化政府支出偏好代际冲突公共政策态度