货币政策与金融稳定:跨国证据

Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Cross‐Country Evidence

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2018
被引 27
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

构建金融稳定导向指数衡量央行对金融稳定风险的重视程度,发现高导向央行在风险上升时加息幅度比低导向央行高0.27个百分点,这降低了危机概率但伴随更低通胀和产出增长。

Abstract

Abstract We explain the heterogeneous response of central banks to financial stability risks based on a financial stability orientation (FSO) index, which reflects statutory, regulatory, and discretionary components of central banks' monetary policy frameworks. Our baseline results from a cross‐country panel of modified Taylor rules suggest that central banks with a high FSO increase their policy rates in response to elevated financial stability risks by 0.27 percentage points more than central banks with a low orientation. Back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations suggest that this policy rate differential translates into a reduced crisis probability but also into considerably lower inflation and output growth rates.

货币政策金融稳定中央银行泰勒规则