时间偏好与讨价还价

Time Preferences and Bargaining

Econometrica · 2018
被引 24
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

在Rubinstein讨价还价模型中引入一般时间偏好,发现弱现时偏向(如双曲线贴现)足以保证均衡唯一、平稳且有效率,而违反现时偏向则可能导致多重非平稳均衡和延迟协议。

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of general time preferences in the canonical Rubinstein (1982) model of bargaining, allowing for arbitrarily history-dependent strategies. I derive a simple sufficient structure for optimal punishments and thereby fully characterize (i) the set of equilibrium outcomes for any given preference profile, and (ii) the set of preference profiles for which equilibrium is unique. Based on this characterization, I establish that a weak notion of present bias—implied, for example, by any hyperbolic or quasi-hyperbolic discounting—is sufficient for equilibrium to be unique, stationary, and efficient. Conversely, I demonstrate how certain violations of present bias give rise to multiple (non-stationary) equilibria that feature delayed agreement under gradually increasing offers.

时间偏好讨价还价均衡唯一性现时偏向