单变量GARCH VaR投资组合优化:实际投资组合方法

Mean-univariate GARCH VaR portfolio optimization: Actual portfolio approach

Computers and Operations Research · 2016
被引 38
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种基于单变量GARCH模型估计风险价值的投资组合优化方法,在40只美国大股票样本上比传统多变量GARCH和历史VaR模型获得更优的均值-VaR权衡。

Abstract

In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank's actual portfolio, i.e. the portfolio represented by its current holdings. To tackle mean-VaR portfolio optimization within the actual portfolio framework (APF), we propose a novel mean-VaR optimization method where VaR is estimated using a univariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) volatility model. The optimization was performed by employing a Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II). On a sample of 40 large US stocks, our procedure provided superior mean-VaR trade-offs compared to those obtained from applying more customary mean-multivariate GARCH and historical VaR models. The results hold true in both low and high volatility samples.

投资组合优化风险价值GARCH模型金融风险管理