Temperature Changes, Household Consumption, and Internal Migration: Evidence from Tanzania
利用近二十年的面板数据，研究坦桑尼亚农村家庭流动性约束如何通过温度冲击影响消费和男性长期迁移，揭示气候波动阻碍劳动力流动的机制。
Abstract Large rural‐urban wage gaps observed in many developing countries are suggestive of barriers to migration that keep potential migrants in rural areas. Using long panel data spanning nearly two decades, I study the extent to which migration rates are constrained by liquidity constraints in rural Tanzania. The analysis begins by quantifying the impact of weather variation on household welfare. The results show how household consumption co‐moves with temperature, rendering households vulnerable to local weather events. These temperature‐induced income shocks are then found to inhibit long‐term migration among men, thus preventing them from tapping into the opportunities brought about by geographical mobility.