局部平稳时间序列的非参数回归

Nonparametric regression for locally stationary time series

Annals of Statistics · 2012
被引 142
ABS 4★

中文导读

研究允许局部平稳回归变量和随时间平滑变化的回归函数的非参数模型,提出核估计方法并给出渐近理论,适用于时变系数时间序列模型。

Abstract

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We introduce a kernel-based method to estimate the time-varying regression function and provide asymptotic theory for our estimates. Moreover, we show that the main conditions of the theory are satisfied for a large class of nonlinear autoregressive processes with a time-varying regression function. Finally, we examine structured models where the regression function splits up into time-varying additive components. As will be seen, estimation in these models does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality.

非参数回归时间序列分析时变系数模型核方法