多期最优对冲比率:方法论方面及其在小麦市场中的应用

Multiperiod optimal hedging ratios: methodological aspects and application to a wheat market

European Review of Agricultural Economics · 2015
被引 4
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

推导了多期对冲比率的解析公式,利用模拟数据比较不同估计方法的表现,并应用于软小麦市场的实际对冲案例。

Abstract

This work deals with issues relating to multiperiod hedging ratios (MHRs). First, we derive an analytical formula for the MHR starting from the triangular representation of a cointegrated system. Second, using both overlapping and non-overlapping price changes, we investigate the properties of OLS MHR. Third, we resort to simulated data to investigate the performance of MHR estimators. Unlike previous studies, we do not use real data whose data generating process is unknown; instead we run a Monte Carlo exercise to investigate estimators and compare them with theoretical measures. Finally, we apply our approach to real data for a hedging related to soft wheat.

多期对冲比率协整系统蒙特卡洛模拟小麦市场