Can Analytic Narrative Inform Policy Change? The Political Economy of the Indian Electricity–Irrigation Nexus
研究了印度农业电力补贴导致的高需求、地下水枯竭和财政负担问题,通过博弈模型分析政策锁定和路径依赖,发现解决当前均衡需要改变电力分配层面的协调失败。
Agricultural electricity subsidisation has led to high electricity demand, groundwater depletion and public financial burdens. The policy persists, although paralleled by fundamental changes in electricity governance. How can lock-in and policy trajectories be explained? Theories of institutional public choice and regulation are reviewed. Two game models are built to analyse narratives based on interviews and secondary historical data. The findings reveal path dependencies inherent in the existing action situations. Resolving the current equilibrium requires changes outside the political or regulatory process, such as the electricity distribution level, where coordination failure impedes infrastructure improvements, contributing to resistance among the agricultural electorate.