青少年吸烟行为实证研究中误分类误差的影响

Implications of Misclassification Errors in Empirical Studies of Adolescent Smoking Behaviours

Health Economics · 2016
被引 5
人大 A-

中文导读

利用英格兰健康调查数据,发现青少年自我报告吸烟存在误分类,导致边际效应估计向下偏误,并检验了HAS方法在纠正偏误中的表现。

Abstract

Misclassification errors in a dependent variable can introduce attenuation bias to covariate effects in a binary choice model. Misreporting of smoking behaviours by adolescents has been widely documented. However, the consequence in empirical studies of adolescent smoking participation has received little attention. This study uses the Health Survey for England (HSE) to investigate the extent and implication of misclassification errors in self-reported smoking among adolescents aged 11-15 years. The HSE contains both a self-reported smoking component and an objective measure of smoking obtained from saliva cotinine assays. Saliva cotinine concentration ≥12 ng/ml is considered the 'true' indicator of adolescent smoking participation against which self-reported smoking is compared. The findings show that smoking is misreported in this age group, resulting in a downwards bias of marginal effect estimates. Given the widespread use of self-reported smoking data, this study explores the performance of the Hausman, Abrevaya and Scott-Morton-modified maximum likelihood estimation (HAS approach) in recovering true estimates of covariate effects. In this context, the HAS approach performs better when the misclassification probabilities are treated as constants compared with when they are treated as conditionally dependent parameters. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

青少年吸烟误分类误差自我报告偏差HAS方法