半参数季节性单位根检验

SEMI-PARAMETRIC SEASONAL UNIT ROOT TESTS

Econometric Theory · 2017
被引 13
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

将Stock、Perron和Ng等人提出的M类单位根检验扩展到季节性情形,开发了半参数替代方法,在存在强负移动平均成分时仍能保持良好有限样本性质。

Abstract

We extend the ${\cal M}$ class of unit root tests introduced by Stock (1999, Cointegration, Causality and Forecasting. A Festschrift in Honour of Clive W.J. Granger . Oxford University Press), Perron and Ng (1996, Review of Economic Studies 63, 435–463) and Ng and Perron (2001, Econometrica 69, 1519–1554) to the seasonal case, thereby developing semi-parametric alternatives to the regression-based augmented seasonal unit root tests of Hylleberg, Engle, Granger, and Yoo (1990, Journal of Econometrics 44, 215–238). The success of this class of unit root tests to deliver good finite sample size control even in the most problematic (near-cancellation) case where the shocks contain a strong negative moving average component is shown to carry over to the seasonal case as is the superior size/power trade-off offered by these tests relative to other available tests.

半参数季节单位根检验M类检验季节单位根有限样本性质