关于城市警察出行时间平方根定律的一个注记

A note on the square root law for urban police travel times

Journal of the Operational Research Society · 2016
被引 1
ABS 3

中文导读

检验了经典平方根定律中有效出行速度恒定的假设,提出用机器学习方法将呼叫类型、天气、交通等外生因素纳入速度模型,并用加拿大城市警察数据验证了其价值。

Abstract

The classical Square Root Law formula for emergency travel times consists of one observable component, the density of patrol coverage, and one unknown component that must be estimated empirically, the effective travel speed. The effective travel speed is typically assumed to be an empirical constant. We test whether this simplifying assumption is justified empirically. We propose a modern machine-learning approach and a Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression to incorporate into a travel speed model various exogenous factors such as call type, incident location, weather conditions and traffic congestion. The value of the proposed analytical approach and some practical implications are demonstrated using operational data from a large urban police jurisdiction based in British Columbia, Canada. Although the analysis is framed within the context of urban emergency police operations, the proposed approach has the potential to be useful for other emergency services or roving business units that deal with unscheduled service calls.

警务运营应急响应交通工程机器学习应用