The Employment Dynamics of Disadvantaged Women: Evidence from the SIPP
利用SIPP数据估计弱势单亲母亲的就业持续时间模型，修正报告偏差后分析人口特征、最低工资、失业率和福利政策对就业动态的影响。
Understanding the employment dynamics of disadvantaged families is increasingly important. We estimate duration models describing these dynamics for disadvantaged single mothers and use them to conduct a rich set of counterfactual analyses. We use a misreporting model to correct for "seam bias, " the problem that too many transitions are reported between reference periods in panel data. We find effects of demographics, minimum wages, unemployment rates, and maximum welfare benefits, but not policy changes introduced through state welfare waivers, on employment dynamics. We find that two commonly used ad hoc methods of addressing seam bias perform substantially worse than our approach.