韩国老年人居住地点选择:一个多层次逻辑模型

The residential location choice of the elderly in Korea: A multilevel logit model

Journal of Rural Studies · 2016
被引 24
ABS 3

中文导读

基于概率选择理论,构建了结合个体与区域因素的居住地点选择模型,发现失业或与子女同住的老年人更倾向迁往城市,而老年夫妇比无配偶者更倾向迁往农村。

Abstract

The present study explores a residential movement of elderly households, which is postulated based on the probabilistic choice theory. This study intends to develop a residential location choice model integrating micro- and macro-approaches by adding regional factors to the probabilistic choice model in terms of the individual level. With the movement to rural areas being given more focus, the estimated results will have implications on local governments’ policies with regard to the shrinking population. The findings suggest that the propensities associated with the decision to move to rural areas vary in different regions. The unemployed elderly or the elderly who live with their children are most likely to move to urban areas, while elderly couples show more inclination to migrate to rural areas than the spouseless elderly. This study presents that the probability that the urban elderly will move to rural areas is lower than that of the rural elderly.

老年经济学居住选择区域科学人口迁移