3个人+1台电脑=最佳预测

3 Humans + 1 Computer = Best Prediction

HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW · 2013
被引 6
人大 AFT50ABS 3

中文导读

研究对比了180人和统计软件对英德流行歌曲榜单的预测,发现软件更准,但人机混合预测效果最佳。

Abstract

article notes political analyst Nate Silver's book The Signal and the Noise and focuses on research that examined human and computer predictions for hit songs on the Top 100 popular music charts in Great Britain and Germany. study found statistics-based computer software was more accurate in forecasting hit songs than the 180 people in the study. It also found a mix of human and computer predictions produced the best forecasts. Research methods in the study are noted.

预测方法人机协作音乐产业统计学