极端天气是否驱动美国跨区域人才流失?来自排序模型的证据

Does Extreme Weather Drive Interregional Brain Drain in the U.S.? Evidence from a Sorting Model

Land Economics · 2016
被引 36
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过居住地选择模型,发现大学毕业生对极端高温更敏感,愿意支付更高代价避开炎热天气,预测西部和西南部极端高温增加可能导致人力资本流失。

Abstract

Previous studies have identified mean temperature as an important factor in household location choice, but no study has measured the impact of extreme weather on U.S. interregional brain drain. We estimate a residential sorting model to examine the effects of extreme weather on heterogeneous household location choices across the United States. We find that college graduates are more sensitive to extreme temperatures and are willing to pay more than other demographic groups to avoid hot weather. In light of predicted increases in extreme heat days in the West and Southwest, these areas may be at risk of significant human capital loss. <i></i>

极端天气人才流失居住选址模型人力资本