半参数GARCH模型的样条估计

SPLINE ESTIMATION OF A SEMIPARAMETRIC GARCH MODEL

Econometric Theory · 2015
被引 11
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出用三次样条方法估计半参数GARCH模型,理论性质与核方法相同,但计算更快、数值表现更优,适合分析大型金融时间序列数据。

Abstract

The semiparametric GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) model of Yang (2006, Journal of Econometrics 130, 365–384) has combined the flexibility of a nonparametric link function with the dependence on infinitely many past observations of the classic GARCH model. We propose a cubic spline procedure to estimate the unknown quantities in the semiparametric GARCH model that is intuitively appealing due to its simplicity. The theoretical properties of the procedure are the same as the kernel procedure, while simulated and real data examples show that the numerical performance is either better than or comparable to the kernel method. The new method is computationally much more efficient than the kernel method and very useful for analyzing large financial time series data.

半参数GARCH模型三次样条估计非参数连接函数金融时间序列