单位根与模型设定的简单检验程序

A simple testing procedure for unit root and model specification

Computational Statistics and Data Analysis · 2016
被引 5
ABS 3

中文导读

基于时间序列的成分表示,开发了联合检验单位根和趋势设定的F统计量,通过模拟和实证(美英实际汇率、英国工业产出和CPI)验证了其有效性。

Abstract

Tests for the joint null hypothesis of a unit root based on the components representation of a time series are developed. The proposed testing procedure is designed to detect a unit root as well as guide the practitioner regarding the specification of trend component of a time series. The limiting null distributions of the newly developed F-statistics are derived. Finite sample simulation evidence shows that the F-statistics maintain their size, and have power against the trend-break stationary alternative. The use of our methodology is illustrated through an empirical examination of the US–UK real exchange rate, the UK industrial production, and the UK CPI series.

时间序列分析单位根检验计量经济学经济时间序列